San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v Vancouver Whitecaps — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
2-1
HT 0-1
Vancouver Whitecaps
ABD
2-0
HT 2-0
Vancouver Whitecaps
ABD
3-3
HT 0-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes edged past Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; San Jose Earthquakes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 61% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 39%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.63 to 0.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold San Jose Earthquakes's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Jose Earthquakes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.33 for Vancouver Whitecaps.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 38%, draw 24%, Vancouver Whitecaps 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.