St. Louis City 3-1 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 10 Aug 2025

St. Louis City
3-1 HT 2-0
Nashville SC
📅10/08/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

St. Louis City vs Nashville SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.13
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.52
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
22.6
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
8%
6.87
X/2
15%
5.17
X/X
14%
5.39
2/1
4%
28.5
2/2
26%
2.92
2/X
4%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.6 — our 6% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Louis City v Nashville SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 48%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.48/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.86
-23% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 82%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.4 Crosses 14.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3

St. Louis City vs Nashville SC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Louis City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nashville SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.64 xG 2.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
270 Passes 283
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
18.06.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-1 HT 1-1 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD

St. Louis City 3-1 Nashville SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Louis City
3-1
AWAY Nashville SC
2.31 xG 2.21
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
315 Passes 452
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
26 Box Touches 33
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Louis City vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Louis City got the better of Nashville SC 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nashville SC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, St. Louis City had 43% of the ball to Nashville SC's 57%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 2.31 to 2.21.

What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Nashville SC?

St. Louis City 3-1 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 29%, draw 23%, Nashville SC 47%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nashville SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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