CF Montreal 1-1 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.1pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.23/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.48
-5% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 82%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
18.9 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.41 xG 1.70
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
419 Passes 376
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Atlanta United Atlanta United 3-2 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
23.10.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-2 HT 0-2 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
03.10.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-2 HT 1-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
14.07.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
24.09.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 4-1 HT 2-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
09.07.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
1-1
AWAY Atlanta United
0.76 xG 2.68
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
207 Passes 488
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
20 Box Touches 35
11 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal and Atlanta United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 33% of the ball to Atlanta United's 67%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.76 to 2.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlanta United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CF Montreal and 1.83 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Atlanta United?

CF Montreal 1-1 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 40%, draw 23%, Atlanta United 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CF Montreal), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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