Chicago Fire 2-2 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.25
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.15
X/1
19%
5.59
X/2
17%
6.47
X/X
10%
5.18
2/1
6%
23.95
2/2
12%
4.08
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.50/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.58
-8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
18.4 Crosses 14.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chicago Fire
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.02 xG 2.22
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
252 Passes 528
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 32
6 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 0
11.02.2024 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC HAZ
05.05.2019 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
29.09.2018 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 3-1 HT 2-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire
2-2
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.54 xG 1.82
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
419 Passes 432
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
27 Box Touches 25
7 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chicago Fire and Los Angeles FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Chicago Fire had 49% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 51%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.54 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.33 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles FC?

Chicago Fire 2-2 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 40%, draw 24%, Los Angeles FC 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chicago Fire) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chicago Fire) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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