Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Philadelphia Union
ABD
4-2
HT 3-0
Toronto FC
ABD
4-0
HT 2-0
Toronto FC
ABD
Philadelphia Union 1-1 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Philadelphia Union carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Philadelphia Union had 50% of the ball to Toronto FC's 50%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.56 to 1.54.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.33 for Toronto FC.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?
Philadelphia Union 1-1 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 65%, draw 19%, Toronto FC 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5 went the other way.