Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Philadelphia Union
ABD
4-2
HT 3-0
Toronto FC
ABD
4-0
HT 2-0
Toronto FC
ABD
2-1
HT 1-1
Philadelphia Union
ABD
Toronto FC 1-2 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union edged past Toronto FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Toronto FC had 42% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 58%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.09 to 1.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toronto FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Toronto FC and 1.83 for Philadelphia Union.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Toronto FC 1-2 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Before kick-off our model rated an Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 29%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.