New York City FC 0-3 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 May 2025

📅29/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.24
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 25% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York City FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +12%
1.96/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.63
+7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
16.9 Crosses 14.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York City FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.81 xG 1.78
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
479 Passes 268
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.03.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-0 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
09.08.2019 New York City FC New York City FC 3-2 HT 1-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
26.05.2018 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 3-1 HT 1-1 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
23.09.2017 New York City FC New York City FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
01.10.2016 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-2 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
31.05.2015 New York City FC New York City FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York City FC
0-3
AWAY Houston Dynamo
0.53 xG 2.55
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
540 Passes 273
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New York City FC vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo swept aside New York City FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was New York City FC at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, New York City FC had 63% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 37%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.53 to 2.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for New York City FC and 1.33 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of New York City FC vs Houston Dynamo?

New York City FC 0-3 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York City FC vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 53%, draw 23%, Houston Dynamo 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (New York City FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New York City FC) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
29 May 2025
02:30 Atlanta United vs Orlando City Analysis →
02:30 Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Analysis →
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte Analysis →
02:30 Inter Miami vs CF Montreal Analysis →
02:30 DC United vs New England Revolution Analysis →
02:30 FC Cincinnati vs FC Dallas Analysis →