DC United 1-1 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 May 2025

📅29/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.1
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 30% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.75
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.72
X/2
10%
5.94
X/X
14%
4.51
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
19%
3.98
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.8pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.42/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.62
-7% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
19.3 Crosses 19.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY New England Revolution
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.77 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
298 Passes 372
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-2 HT 0-2 DC United DC United ABD
25.02.2024 DC United DC United 3-1 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
16.07.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 4-0 HT 2-0 DC United DC United ABD
26.03.2023 DC United DC United 1-2 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
14.08.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABD
24.04.2022 DC United DC United 3-2 HT 3-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
1-1
AWAY New England Revolution
1.20 xG 1.12
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
353 Passes 327
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH DC United vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United and New England Revolution couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, DC United had 52% of the ball to New England Revolution's 48%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.20 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for DC United and 1.83 for New England Revolution.

What was the final score of DC United vs New England Revolution?

DC United 1-1 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated an New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split DC United 35%, draw 29%, New England Revolution 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (New England Revolution), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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