Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.61
Over 2.5
66%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.55
No
37%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.97
2-3 Goals
33%
2.07
4-5 Goals
30%
2.58
6+ Goals
19%
5.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.81
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.0
X/1
15%
4.0
X/2
8%
12.25
X/X
11%
7.2
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
19.2
2/2
10%
8.18
2/X
7%
16.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.2 — our 13% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.4pp
34%
Under 2.5
35%
-0.6pp
66%
Over 2.5
65%
+0.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.1pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.90/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.99
-1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
24.3 Crosses 15.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
1W-2D-3L
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 1.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
330 Passes 436
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 0-2 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
21.08.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-1 HT 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
05.03.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
05.09.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
15.05.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-3 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
24.10.2021 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
2-0
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
2.83 xG 1.01
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
546 Passes 397
91% Pass Accuracy 85%
38 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps got the better of San Jose Earthquakes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vancouver Whitecaps as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 57% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 43%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.83 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Jose Earthquakes led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.50 for San Jose Earthquakes.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 52%, draw 23%, San Jose Earthquakes 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
15 Sep 2024
02:30 Toronto FC vs Austin Analysis →
02:30 Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union Analysis →
02:30 Orlando City vs New England Revolution Analysis →
02:30 CF Montreal vs Charlotte Analysis →
02:30 Atlanta United vs Nashville SC Analysis →
02:30 FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew Analysis →