Boca Juniors 5-0 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 6 Oct 2025

📅06/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.45
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.78
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
18.75
X/1
19%
3.67
X/2
5%
14.25
X/X
10%
5.12
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
5%
13.55
2/X
5%
22.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
65%
-1.4pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.0pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.65/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.10
+8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
23.7 Crosses 14.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boca Juniors
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 0.81
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
377 Passes 252
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
31.03.2025 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 2-0 HT 2-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
09.12.2024 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
06.04.2024 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-3 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
12.11.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
25.07.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-1 HT 1-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
16.10.2022 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 2-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
5-0
AWAY Newells Old Boys
3.12 xG 0.23
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 5
13 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
519 Passes 291
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors swept aside Newells Old Boys 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Boca Juniors as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 61% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 39%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 3.12 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Boca Juniors and 1.00 for Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Newells Old Boys?

Boca Juniors 5-0 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 06/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 64%, draw 21%, Newells Old Boys 15%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
6 Oct 2025
03:15 Rosario Central vs River Plate Analysis →