Rosario Central 2-1 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 6 Oct 2025

📅06/10/2025 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.03
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.96
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.48
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
9%
5.69
X/2
15%
5.42
X/X
20%
3.31
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
13%
4.15
2/X
9%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.2pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.34/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.06
+34% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
22.3 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
1W-2D-3L
AWAY River Plate
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.65 xG 1.64
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
174 Passes 445
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 River Plate River Plate 2-2 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
09.12.2024 River Plate River Plate 4-0 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
08.04.2024 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
23.12.2023 River Plate River Plate 2-0 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJTC
10.12.2023 River Plate River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
12.11.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 1-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
2-1
AWAY River Plate
1.40 xG 0.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
195 Passes 238
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central nicked a narrow win over River Plate 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 34% / 35%) promised a tight game; Rosario Central found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rosario Central had 48% of the ball to River Plate's 52%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.40 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rosario Central and 1.83 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs River Plate?

Rosario Central 2-1 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 06/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 31%, draw 34%, River Plate 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (River Plate), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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