Atletico Goianiense 3-0 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 6 Oct 2025

📅06/10/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
5.46
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.1pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.34/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.22
+17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
24.6 Crosses 15.1
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Goianiense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.92 xG 1.30
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
356 Passes 300
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.06.2025 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
20.11.2024 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
08.07.2024 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
10.11.2022 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
21.07.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 4-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
07.10.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
3-0
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
2.46 xG 0.99
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
238 Passes 397
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Goianiense swept aside Atletico Paranaense 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Atletico Goianiense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 40% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 60%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 2.46 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Goianiense and 1.83 for Atletico Paranaense.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense?

Atletico Goianiense 3-0 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Paranaense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 35%, draw 28%, Atletico Paranaense 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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