Torreense U23 2-1 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 6 Oct 2025

📅06/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-8.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.3pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense U23 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 19%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/2.81
-52% / -71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -37%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense U23
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Estrela U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.04.2025 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 4-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
21.01.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 PORU23
16.04.2024 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 2-0 HT 0-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 1-1 HT 1-0 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense U23
2-1
AWAY Estrela U23
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torreense U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense U23 nicked a narrow win over Estrela U23 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torreense U23 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Torreense U23 had 57% of the ball to Estrela U23's 43%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Torreense U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Torreense U23 and 0.25 for Estrela U23.

What was the final score of Torreense U23 vs Estrela U23?

Torreense U23 2-1 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 06/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Torreense U23 55%, draw 26%, Estrela U23 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torreense U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torreense U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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