Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 6 Nov 2024

Blackburn Rovers
0-2 HT 0-0
Stoke City
📅06/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
23%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 30% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.94
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
8%
4.72
X/2
7%
6.74
X/X
16%
4.63
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
8%
4.84
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Blackburn Rovers v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.46/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.34
+10% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
16.1 Crosses 18.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Stoke City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.92
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
285 Passes 347
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 3-1 HT 3-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
25.11.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-3 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
10.03.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 3-2 HT 2-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
27.08.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
18.04.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
27.11.2021 Stoke City Stoke City 0-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL

Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
0-2
AWAY Stoke City
2.78 xG 2.34
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
420 Passes 204
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
46 Box Touches 19
43 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City saw off Blackburn Rovers 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Blackburn Rovers at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 62% of the ball to Stoke City's 38%, shots finished 25-14, expected goals 2.78 to 2.34 — on chances, Blackburn Rovers could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 1.00 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City?

Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 49%, draw 28%, Stoke City 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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