Zira 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.38
Over 2.5
34%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
34%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+1.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
69%
-3.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
31%
+3.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.5pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.67/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.27
+11% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
26.10.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
29.04.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
25.02.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-3 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
09.12.2023 Zira Zira 0-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
01.10.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan edged past Zira 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zira at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Zira and 0.60 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Zira vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Zira 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Zira 51%, draw 27%, Araz Nahçıvan 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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