Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-3.1pp
36%
Draw
31%
+4.8pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.5pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
0.75/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.52
-34% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +120%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Zira
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
29.04.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
25.02.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-3 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
09.12.2023 Zira Zira 0-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
01.10.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan and Zira shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (26% / 36% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 0.75 for Zira.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Zira?

Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 26%, draw 36%, Zira 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zira), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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