Sebail FK 0-1 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.31/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.16
+12% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sumqayıt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
17.08.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-1 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
12.05.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-1 HT 2-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
08.03.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
23.12.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
05.08.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-4 HT 0-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
07.05.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-3 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt squeezed past Sebail FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Sumqayıt made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sebail FK and 1.83 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Sumqayıt?

Sebail FK 0-1 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sebail FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 40%, draw 26%, Sumqayıt 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sebail FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sebail FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
26 Oct 2024
15:00 Araz Nahçıvan vs Zira Analysis →