Internacional 2-0 Criciuma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.1
Over 2.5
38%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.01
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 28% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.45
X/1
23%
3.5
X/2
6%
15.15
X/X
17%
6.55
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
5%
12.2
2/X
7%
20.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-11.0pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.1pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+2.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
44%
+17.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
56%
-17.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.2pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Criciuma EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.88/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.65
+7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +0%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
429 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 76%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
23.1 Crosses 13.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Criciuma
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.16 xG 0.87
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
394 Passes 246
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.07.2024 Criciuma Criciuma 1-1 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
21.10.2017 Criciuma Criciuma 2-3 HT 1-2 Internacional Internacional BR2
08.07.2017 Internacional Internacional 1-1 HT 0-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
25.09.2014 Internacional Internacional 3-0 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
19.05.2014 Criciuma Criciuma 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
15.09.2013 Criciuma Criciuma 0-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
2-0
AWAY Criciuma
1.48 xG 0.14
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
532 Passes 197
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
44 Box Touches 5
19 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Criciuma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional saw off Criciuma 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Internacional had 69% of the ball to Criciuma's 31%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 1.48 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Internacional and 0.67 for Criciuma.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Criciuma?

Internacional 2-0 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Criciuma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Internacional 56%, draw 28%, Criciuma 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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