Rapid Wien U19 3-2 Sporting Braga U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.3
2-3 Goals
46%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
8%
9.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.15
1/2 EV+ ✗
15%
21.45
1/X
3%
14.1
X/1
11%
8.79
X/2
11%
4.32
X/X
13%
5.52
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.29
2/X
9%
13.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.45 — our 15% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-0.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien U19 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U19 EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien U19
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sporting Braga U19
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 12
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2024 Sporting Braga U19 Sporting Braga U19 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien U19 Rapid Wien U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien U19
3-2
AWAY Sporting Braga U19
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien U19 vs Sporting Braga U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien U19 squeezed past Sporting Braga U19 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga U19 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Rapid Wien U19 had 43% of the ball to Sporting Braga U19's 57%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien U19 vs Sporting Braga U19?

Rapid Wien U19 3-2 Sporting Braga U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien U19 vs Sporting Braga U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien U19 23%, draw 25%, Sporting Braga U19 52%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Braga U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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