Spartak Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Moskova v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUS
1-1
HT 0-0
Spartak Moskova
RUS
4-2
HT 1-1
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUK
Spartak Moskova 3-1 Lokomotiv Moscow — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Moskova got the better of Lokomotiv Moscow 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Spartak Moskova had 50% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 50%, shots finished 15-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Spartak Moskova and 2.33 for Lokomotiv Moscow.
What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
Spartak Moskova 3-1 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Cup on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 47%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Moscow 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.