Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lokomotiv Moscow v Spartak Moskova — Team-Based Signals
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUS
1-1
HT 0-0
Spartak Moskova
RUS
4-2
HT 1-1
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUK
0-1
HT 0-1
Spartak Moskova
RUK
Lokomotiv Moscow 4-2 Spartak Moskova — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Moscow saw off Spartak Moskova 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Spartak Moskova at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 31% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 69%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.46 to 1.75.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 2.50 for Spartak Moskova.
What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moskova?
Lokomotiv Moscow 4-2 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moskova?
Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 35%, draw 20%, Spartak Moskova 45%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartak Moskova) went the other way.