CSKA Moskova 5-1 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.83
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.65
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.8
X/1
20%
4.42
X/2
11%
7.76
X/X
9%
4.32
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
10%
6.31
2/X
7%
14.9
Value flag · 1/X at 13.8 — our 11% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.52/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.40
+17% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.3 Crosses 13.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.48 xG 1.42
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
456 Passes 248
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-2 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
26.11.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 3-0 HT 3-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
06.11.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
21.09.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
06.05.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-2 HT 1-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
21.10.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
5-1
AWAY Rubin Kazan
2.71 xG 2.16
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
408 Passes 295
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova swept aside Rubin Kazan 5-1. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 56% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 44%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.71 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.83 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Rubin Kazan?

CSKA Moskova 5-1 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 46%, draw 27%, Rubin Kazan 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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