Krylya Sovetov 1-1 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-14% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.48 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 314
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 36
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
19.09.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-2 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
27.08.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-1 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
26.07.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-3 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
15.05.2021 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS1
02.08.2020 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1-1
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.29 xG 2.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
231 Passes 281
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov and Baltika Kaliningrad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 46% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 54%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 1.29 to 2.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krylya Sovetov had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 1.17 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Krylya Sovetov 1-1 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 32%, draw 29%, Baltika Kaliningrad 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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