FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
62%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
19%
-3.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
62%
Away Win
57%
+4.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.1pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 61%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
0.98/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.84
-28% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +15%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 81%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
15.6 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.57 xG 1.77
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
287 Passes 422
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.07.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
24.05.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
27.11.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
10.11.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
06.11.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
19.05.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-5 HT 1-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1-0
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.51 xG 0.48
26% Ball Possession 74%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
144 Passes 509
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Akhmat Grozny squeezed past Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Zenit St. Petersburg carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 26% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 74%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.51 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 2.83 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 15%, draw 23%, Zenit St. Petersburg 62%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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