SC Villa 1-0 Kitara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 6 Nov 2025

📅06/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.5pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitara EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.12/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.43
-5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +131%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Villa
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Kitara
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.04.2025 SC Villa SC Villa 0-0 HT 0-0 Kitara Kitara UGA
07.01.2025 Kitara Kitara 1-0 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
09.02.2024 Kitara Kitara 1-1 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
15.09.2023 SC Villa SC Villa 1-2 HT 1-1 Kitara Kitara UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
1-0
AWAY Kitara
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs Kitara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa nicked a narrow win over Kitara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SC Villa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, SC Villa had 50% of the ball to Kitara's 50%, shots finished 7-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kitara led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SC Villa and 1.00 for Kitara.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs Kitara?

SC Villa 1-0 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Kitara?

Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 41%, draw 30%, Kitara 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Villa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SC Villa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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