Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.69
6+ Goals
12%
6.87
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.99 — our 25% vs market 15.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
67%
-7.3pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.1pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.51/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.33
+2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
437 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.1 Crosses 15.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.64 xG 0.76
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
478 Passes 233
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 4-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
18.05.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-3 HT 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
10.03.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 5-2 HT 2-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
04.12.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
16.09.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
15.04.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 HT 3-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
1-1
AWAY Slaven Belupo
3.65 xG 1.18
60% Ball Possession 40%
28 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
402 Passes 252
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
41 Box Touches 22
42 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb and Slaven Belupo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Dinamo Zagreb carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 60% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 40%, shots finished 28-11, expected goals 3.65 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.33 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo?

Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 59%, draw 22%, Slaven Belupo 19%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ BTTS No
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