Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Slaven Belupo v Dinamo Zagreb — Team-Based Signals
Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Dinamo Zagreb
HIR
3-0
HT 1-0
Slaven Belupo
HIR
4-0
HT 3-0
Slaven Belupo
HIR
1-1
HT 1-1
Dinamo Zagreb
HIR
Slaven Belupo 4-1 Dinamo Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics
Slaven Belupo cruised past Dinamo Zagreb 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Dinamo Zagreb carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Slaven Belupo had 41% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 59%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 1.84 to 1.97.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Slaven Belupo and 3.00 for Dinamo Zagreb.
What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Slaven Belupo 4-1 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 21%, draw 24%, Dinamo Zagreb 55%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.