Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hajduk Split v HNK Gorica — Team-Based Signals
Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
HNK Gorica
HIR
2-1
HT 0-0
Hajduk Split
HIR
0-0
HT 0-0
Hajduk Split
HIR
2-1
HT 0-0
HNK Gorica
HIR
Hajduk Split 4-1 HNK Gorica — Actual Match Statistics
Hajduk Split cruised past HNK Gorica 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Hajduk Split had 57% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 43%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 3.01 to 0.39.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.67 for HNK Gorica.
What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?
Hajduk Split 4-1 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 58%, draw 22%, HNK Gorica 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.