Spalding United 4-1 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.23
Over 2.5
64%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
3.19/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.94
+53% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
301 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spalding United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Leiston
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.02.2025 Leiston Leiston 2-1 HT 2-0 Spalding United Spalding United İNGNLP
22.10.2024 Spalding United Spalding United 1-2 HT 0-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United ran out comfortable winners over Leiston 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spalding United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Leiston led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spalding United and 2.00 for Leiston.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs Leiston?

Spalding United 4-1 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spalding United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 56%, draw 20%, Leiston 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spalding United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spalding United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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