Stourbridge 2-3 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+6.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.34/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.90
-17% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stourbridge
2W-1D-1L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
05.04.2025 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 3-0 HT 2-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
24.08.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
23.03.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-1 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
25.11.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-2 HT 0-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stourbridge vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury edged past Stourbridge 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stourbridge at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stourbridge had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Stourbridge and 1.25 for AFC Sudbury.

What was the final score of Stourbridge vs AFC Sudbury?

Stourbridge 2-3 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 52%, draw 23%, AFC Sudbury 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stourbridge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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