AFC Sudbury 3-0 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
40%
-9.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.44/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.24
-6% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Stourbridge
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
24.08.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
23.03.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-1 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
25.11.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-2 HT 0-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury cruised past Stourbridge 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day AFC Sudbury made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stourbridge led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for AFC Sudbury and 1.67 for Stourbridge.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Stourbridge?

AFC Sudbury 3-0 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 31%, draw 29%, Stourbridge 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Stourbridge), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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