Waasland-Beveren vs Boussu Dour Borinage Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Waasland-Beveren v Boussu Dour Borinage — Team-Based Signals
Waasland-Beveren vs Boussu Dour Borinage Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Boussu Dour Borinage
BEL2
Waasland-Beveren 1-0 Boussu Dour Borinage — Actual Match Statistics
Waasland-Beveren nicked a narrow win over Boussu Dour Borinage 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 60% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 40%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.39 to 0.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Waasland-Beveren's control.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 0.75 for Boussu Dour Borinage.
What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs Boussu Dour Borinage?
Waasland-Beveren 1-0 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs Boussu Dour Borinage?
Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 66%, draw 19%, Boussu Dour Borinage 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.