Lierse Kempenzonen 2-1 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
18%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
9.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
18%
Away Win
21%
-2.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.66/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.73
-3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
22.2 Crosses 14.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY KRC Genk II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.39 xG 1.68
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
279 Passes 348
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-3 HT 1-3 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
22.11.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-2 HT 0-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
16.02.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1 HT 1-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
28.10.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-3 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
06.11.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 4-2 HT 2-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
14.08.2022 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 4-1 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
2-1
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.36 xG 1.99
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
326 Passes 416
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen squeezed past KRC Genk II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lierse Kempenzonen as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 46% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 54%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.36 to 1.99 — on chances, KRC Genk II could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lierse Kempenzonen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Lierse Kempenzonen and 1.83 for KRC Genk II.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs KRC Genk II?

Lierse Kempenzonen 2-1 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lierse Kempenzonen win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 57%, draw 24%, KRC Genk II 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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