Waasland-Beveren 4-0 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.01
2-3 Goals
46%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 25% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.1pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 27%
-17% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.39/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.67
-12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
19.5 Crosses 15.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 1.64
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
434 Passes 282
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.01.2024 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 3-0 HT 2-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
28.10.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-0 HT 2-0 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
4-0
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
1.68 xG 0.73
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
226 Passes 460
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren swept aside Boussu Dour Borinage 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 36% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 64%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.68 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 1.50 for Boussu Dour Borinage.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Waasland-Beveren 4-0 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 45%, draw 25%, Boussu Dour Borinage 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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