Lommel United 1-1 Deinze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.38
6+ Goals
8%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 27% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.7pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Deinze EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.35/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.54
-1% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
15.6 Crosses 19.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deinze
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
406 Passes 354
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Deinze Deinze 1-2 HT 0-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
05.05.2024 Lommel United Lommel United 1-1 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
13.04.2024 Deinze Deinze 3-2 HT 2-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
26.08.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 1-0 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
14.04.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 4-1 HT 1-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
18.03.2023 Deinze Deinze 1-1 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
1-1
AWAY Deinze
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs Deinze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United and Deinze shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lommel United had 46% of the ball to Deinze's 54%, shots finished 8-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lommel United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lommel United and 1.17 for Deinze.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs Deinze?

Lommel United 1-1 Deinze in the Belgium - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs Deinze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 39%, draw 24%, Deinze 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lommel United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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