KRC Genk II 1-2 Club Brugge II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
14%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge II EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.54/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.10
-6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
15.8 Crosses 14.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Club Brugge II
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.05 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
340 Passes 368
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2024 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 2-1 HT 1-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
25.08.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 0-3 HT 0-2 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
09.12.2022 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-2 HT 1-2 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
09.10.2022 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 3-1 HT 1-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
1-2
AWAY Club Brugge II
2.18 xG 2.29
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 Passes 246
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KRC Genk II vs Club Brugge II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge II squeezed past KRC Genk II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was KRC Genk II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 54% of the ball to Club Brugge II's 46%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.18 to 2.29.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Club Brugge II led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for KRC Genk II and 2.50 for Club Brugge II.

What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs Club Brugge II?

KRC Genk II 1-2 Club Brugge II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs Club Brugge II?

Before kick-off our model rated a KRC Genk II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 42%, draw 27%, Club Brugge II 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KRC Genk II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KRC Genk II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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