Nantes 1-2 Lens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 6 Dec 2025

Nantes
1-2 HT 1-1
Lens
📅06/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Nantes vs Lens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.72
Away Pick
54%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.0
Over
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.74
No
48%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
26%
3.65
2-3
41%
1.81
4-5
22%
3.21
6+
11%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.65 — our 26% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.73
1/2
8%
22.7
1/X
8%
15.9
X/1
11%
9.86
X/2
15%
4.31
X/X
6%
5.44
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
31%
2.16
2/X
8%
14.3
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Nantes v Lens — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Lens The Market 59%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.41/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.05
+18% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +51%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 85%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
17.5 Crosses 22.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Nantes vs Lens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lens
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.63 xG 2.54
39% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
303 Passes 494
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.02.2025 Nantes Nantes 3-1 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1
09.11.2024 Lens Lens 3-2 HT 1-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
03.02.2024 Nantes Nantes 0-1 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
28.10.2023 Lens Lens 4-0 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
01.03.2023 Nantes Nantes 2-1 HT 1-1 Lens Lens FRK
19.02.2023 Lens Lens 3-1 HT 2-1 Nantes Nantes FR1

Nantes 1-2 Lens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
1-2
AWAY Lens
1.19 xG 2.30
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 12
216 Passes 461
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Nantes vs Lens
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lens came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Nantes 2-1 on their travels. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lens as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.74, about 57%.

By the numbers, Lens saw more of the ball, 66% to 34%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 1.19 to 2.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Nantes against 2.17 for Lens.

Nantes vs Lens Result & Final Score

Nantes 1-2 Lens in the France - Ligue 1 on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nantes vs Lens Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nantes 24%, draw 22%, Lens 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lens) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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