Dunkerque 1-0 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 28% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.67
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
11%
5.87
X/2
10%
5.99
X/X
14%
4.98
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
17%
3.79
2/X
8%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.21/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.37
+2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
17.2 Crosses 15.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunkerque
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.91 xG 1.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
332 Passes 374
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
04.10.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-0 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunkerque
1-0
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.41 xG 0.93
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
300 Passes 633
82% Pass Accuracy 91%
24 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dunkerque vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque edged past Saint-Etienne 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Dunkerque made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dunkerque had 35% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 65%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 1.41 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dunkerque and 1.00 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Saint-Etienne?

Dunkerque 1-0 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 2 on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunkerque win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 38%, draw 28%, Saint-Etienne 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunkerque), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunkerque) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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