Troyes 1-1 Rodez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 6 Dec 2025

Troyes
1-1 HT 0-0
Rodez
📅06/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Troyes vs Rodez Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.33
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
21%
4.44
X/2
10%
8.94
X/X
8%
5.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.7
2/2
7%
6.81
2/X
8%
15.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Troyes v Rodez — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Troyes EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rodez EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.37/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.31
+11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.1 Crosses 20.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Troyes vs Rodez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Troyes
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Rodez
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.25 xG 2.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
471 Passes 224
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.01.2025 Rodez Rodez 2-1 HT 1-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
20.09.2024 Troyes Troyes 0-3 HT 0-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
30.03.2024 Troyes Troyes 2-3 HT 0-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
26.09.2023 Rodez Rodez 2-1 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
13.02.2021 Troyes Troyes 2-1 HT 1-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
17.10.2020 Rodez Rodez 0-1 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
POST-MATCH Troyes vs Rodez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Troyes and Rodez shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Troyes at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rodez led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Troyes and 1.83 for Rodez.

What was the final score of Troyes vs Rodez?

Troyes 1-1 Rodez in the France - Ligue 2 on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Troyes vs Rodez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Troyes 54%, draw 22%, Rodez 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Troyes), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Troyes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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