Shabab Al Sahel 1-0 Bourj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+8.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Sahel EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourj EU Bookmakers 26%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.18/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.25
-9% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Al Sahel
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Bourj
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
13.06.2025 Shabab Al Sahel Shabab Al Sahel 1-2 HT 1-1 Bourj LUBN
14.05.2025 Shabab Al Sahel Shabab Al Sahel 0-2 HT 0-0 Bourj LUBN
08.03.2025 Shabab Al Sahel Shabab Al Sahel 3-0 HT 2-0 Bourj LUBN
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Sahel vs Bourj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Sahel edged past Bourj 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shabab Al Sahel as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bourj led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shabab Al Sahel and 1.33 for Bourj.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Sahel vs Bourj?

Shabab Al Sahel 1-0 Bourj in the Lebanon - Premier League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Sahel vs Bourj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shabab Al Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Sahel 50%, draw 27%, Bourj 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabab Al Sahel), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shabab Al Sahel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
6 Dec 2025
15:15 Al Ahed vs Al Ansar Analysis →