Al Ahed 1-5 Al Ansar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.8
Over 2.5
33%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+6.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
52%
+15.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
48%
-15.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.0pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ansar EU Bookmakers 43%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.95/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/1.24
+7% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahed
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Ansar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.06.2025 Al Ansar Al Ansar 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
12.05.2025 Al Ansar Al Ansar 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
12.04.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
25.02.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 2-4 HT 1-2 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
POST-MATCH Al Ahed vs Al Ansar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ansar ran out comfortable winners over Al Ahed 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ansar as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ahed and 2.00 for Al Ansar.

What was the final score of Al Ahed vs Al Ansar?

Al Ahed 1-5 Al Ansar in the Lebanon - Premier League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahed vs Al Ansar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ansar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Ahed 26%, draw 28%, Al Ansar 45%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ansar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ansar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
6 Dec 2025
15:15 Shabab Al Sahel vs Bourj Analysis →