Al Ansar 4-1 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 27 Jun 2025

Al Ansar
4-1 HT 1-0
Al Ahed
📅27/06/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Lebanon - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Ansar vs Al Ahed Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ansar v Al Ahed — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ansar EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
0.50/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.31
-61% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +147%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Al Ansar vs Al Ahed Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ansar
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Ahed
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
12.05.2025 Al Ansar Al Ansar 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
12.04.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
25.02.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 2-4 HT 1-2 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
POST-MATCH Al Ansar vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ansar swept aside Al Ahed 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ansar as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Ahed led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ansar and 1.67 for Al Ahed.

What was the final score of Al Ansar vs Al Ahed?

Al Ansar 4-1 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ansar vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ansar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Ansar 44%, draw 31%, Al Ahed 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ansar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ansar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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