Ümraniyespor 3-4 Amed SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
8.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.42
1/2
6%
21.15
1/X EV+ ✗
8%
17.75
X/1
9%
12.0
X/2
11%
4.14
X/X
13%
6.3
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
36%
1.88
2/X
5%
15.7
Value flag · 1/X at 17.75 — our 8% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
52%
Away Win
62%
-9.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Amed SK EU Bookmakers 66%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.01/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.96
-7% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -27%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 84%
12.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
13.5 Crosses 18.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Amed SK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 Passes 335
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 3-0 HT 1-0 Amed SK Amed SK T1L
23.12.2024 Amed SK Amed SK 2-0 HT 2-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
3-4
AWAY Amed SK
1.39 xG 2.66
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 10
329 Passes 373
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 37
7 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Amed SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed SK edged past Ümraniyespor 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Amed SK as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 45% of the ball to Amed SK's 55%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.39 to 2.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Amed SK's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ümraniyespor and 1.00 for Amed SK.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Amed SK?

Ümraniyespor 3-4 Amed SK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Amed SK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 22%, draw 26%, Amed SK 52%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amed SK), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amed SK) ✓ BTTS Yes
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