Ümraniyespor 3-0 Amed SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

Ümraniyespor
3-0 HT 1-0
Amed SK
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Ümraniyespor vs Amed SK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
4.29
6+ Goals
10%
20.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 35% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.87
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
15%
6.42
X/2
11%
4.95
X/X
16%
4.32
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.26
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ümraniyespor v Amed SK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Amed SK EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.18/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.11
+5% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +78%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
18.2 Crosses 18.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Ümraniyespor vs Amed SK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Amed SK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.37 xG 1.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
388 Passes 368
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.12.2024 Amed SK Amed SK 2-0 HT 2-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L

Ümraniyespor 3-0 Amed SK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
3-0
AWAY Amed SK
1.57 xG 1.09
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
388 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Amed SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor cruised past Amed SK 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Ümraniyespor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 54% of the ball to Amed SK's 46%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.57 to 1.09.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Amed SK?

Ümraniyespor 3-0 Amed SK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Amed SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 36%, draw 30%, Amed SK 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ümraniyespor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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