Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fatih Karagümrük v Keçiörengücü — Team-Based Signals
Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Fatih Karagümrük
T1L
0-2
HT 0-0
Keçiörengücü
T1L
1-2
HT 1-2
Keçiörengücü
S2-B
3-1
HT 2-0
Fatih Karagümrük
S2-K
1-3
HT 0-2
Keçiörengücü
S2-K
Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 Keçiörengücü — Actual Match Statistics
Fatih Karagümrük edged past Keçiörengücü 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Fatih Karagümrük made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 41% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 59%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 2.03 to 0.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fatih Karagümrük's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keçiörengücü led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 2.17 for Keçiörengücü.
What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü?
Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Keçiörengücü?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 37%, draw 29%, Keçiörengücü 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.