Şanlıurfaspor 1-3 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

Şanlıurfaspor
1-3 HT 0-0
Manisa FK
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Şanlıurfaspor vs Manisa FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 28% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.49
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
6%
5.39
X/2
13%
6.06
X/X
12%
4.72
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
20%
4.19
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Şanlıurfaspor v Manisa FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 37%
-15% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.10/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.27
-22% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
28.0 Crosses 17.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Şanlıurfaspor vs Manisa FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Manisa FK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.23 xG 1.34
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
217 Passes 388
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.12.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-1 HT 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
11.05.2024 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
25.12.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
03.12.2020 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-B
02.02.2020 Manisa FK Manisa FK 7-0 HT 4-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-B
21.09.2019 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-3 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-B

Şanlıurfaspor 1-3 Manisa FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
1-3
AWAY Manisa FK
1.15 xG 1.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 0
345 Passes 308
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Şanlıurfaspor vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK got the better of Şanlıurfaspor 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Manisa FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Şanlıurfaspor had 53% of the ball to Manisa FK's 47%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.15 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manisa FK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Şanlıurfaspor and 2.50 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Şanlıurfaspor vs Manisa FK?

Şanlıurfaspor 1-3 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şanlıurfaspor vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Şanlıurfaspor 36%, draw 25%, Manisa FK 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manisa FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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