Sakaryaspor 1-0 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
4.87
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.84
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
13%
6.21
X/2
14%
5.01
X/X
12%
3.97
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.48
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
0.96/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.20
+29% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
16.4 Crosses 17.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.02 xG 1.01
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
371 Passes 211
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
18.12.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor TÜK
15.04.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
24.11.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-2 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
02.05.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
03.12.2022 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
1-0
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.02 xG 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 12
205 Passes 271
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 31
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor squeezed past Erzurumspor FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Sakaryaspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 44% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 56%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.02 to 1.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured Erzurumspor FK.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sakaryaspor and 0.67 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Sakaryaspor 1-0 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 36%, draw 26%, Erzurumspor FK 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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