Kocaelispor 3-4 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
4.47
6+ Goals
10%
22.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 33% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.5
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.15
X/1
24%
4.17
X/2
10%
8.34
X/X
12%
4.48
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
8%
7.14
2/X
9%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.41/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.28
+23% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
18.6 Crosses 14.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kocaelispor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Boluspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 1.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
348 Passes 292
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Boluspor Boluspor 1-3 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
11.02.2024 Boluspor Boluspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
16.09.2023 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-1 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
07.02.2022 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-2 HT 1-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
12.09.2021 Boluspor Boluspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
31.01.2010 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-2 HT 1-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
3-4
AWAY Boluspor
2.10 xG 3.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
406 Passes 288
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 28
27 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor squeezed past Kocaelispor 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kocaelispor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 58% of the ball to Boluspor's 42%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 2.10 to 3.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boluspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kocaelispor and 1.50 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Boluspor?

Kocaelispor 3-4 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 46%, draw 28%, Boluspor 25%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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