Bandırmaspor 1-0 Esenler Erokspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.96
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.0
X/1
20%
5.01
X/2
11%
7.0
X/X
8%
4.95
2/1
7%
24.65
2/2
16%
4.95
2/X
5%
13.65
Value flag · 1/X at 13.0 — our 12% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.24/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.20
-8% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.4 Crosses 12.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 1.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 10
268 Passes 320
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 39
28 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
1-0
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
0.78 xG 0.38
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
201 Passes 340
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Esenler Erokspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor nicked a narrow win over Esenler Erokspor 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bandırmaspor as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 39% of the ball to Esenler Erokspor's 61%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.78 to 0.38.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

Bandırmaspor 1-0 Esenler Erokspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 41%, draw 25%, Esenler Erokspor 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandırmaspor), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✓ Under 2.5
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