MKE Ankaragücü 1-0 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +8%
1.38/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.30
+23% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.4 Crosses 14.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Çorum FK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.83 xG 0.69
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
210 Passes 413
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 18
7 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 6
22.12.2024 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-1 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
31.10.2012 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-0 HT 0-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
1-0
AWAY Çorum FK
1.03 xG 1.32
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
322 Passes 262
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü nicked a narrow win over Çorum FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had MKE Ankaragücü as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 54% of the ball to Çorum FK's 46%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.03 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 0.50 for Çorum FK.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Çorum FK?

MKE Ankaragücü 1-0 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 48%, draw 26%, Çorum FK 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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